11 races where your dollars still move the needle.
The Designated 2026 Edge Campaign is American Muckrakers PAC's curated list of races — powered by VoteROI's modeling — where strategic donor money can still change outcomes. We don't just list every Democrat. We list the ones the math says you can move.
David Jolly
FL · Governor
Win prob
35%
Opportunity
68
Goal
$25,000
Florida is one of the largest, most-watched states in the country, and a statewide Democratic governor campaign there sets the donor narrative about whether the map is still contested. David Jolly's run is exactly the kind of race where early support turns a serious candidate into a real contender.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in rural Florida Panhandle and Big Bend counties
Billboards along I-10 and US-98 in rural North Florida
Small-market radio across rural Florida counties
Online voter forums for rural Florida voters
Direct contributions routed to David Jolly's campaign committee
Chris Pappas
NH · U.S. Senate
Win prob
58%
Opportunity
68
Goal
$25,000
New Hampshire's open Senate seat is a race Democrats have to defend -- Jeanne Shaheen is retiring after a generation of statewide service. The eventual nominee starts with a real coalition, but New Hampshire's small electorate and high-information voters demand a fully funded operation from the primary forward.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in rural North Country and western NH counties
Billboards along I-93 and US-3 in rural New Hampshire
Small-market radio across rural New Hampshire stations
Online voter forums for rural NH voters
Direct contributions routed to the NH Democratic nominee's campaign committee
Sherrod Brown
OH · U.S. Senate
Win prob
42%
Opportunity
67
Goal
$25,000
Sherrod Brown is one of the only Democrats who has consistently won statewide in Ohio across a hostile decade. He's running for the appointed Republican-held seat -- a race that puts a winnable Ohio back on the Senate map for the first time in years.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in rural Appalachian Ohio and Western Ohio counties
Billboards along I-70 and US-23 in rural Ohio
Small-market radio across rural Ohio counties
Online voter forums for rural Ohio voters
Direct contributions routed to Sherrod Brown's campaign committee
Graham Platner
ME · U.S. Senate
Win prob
35%
Opportunity
67
Goal
$25,000
Maine is one of the most competitive Senate seats in the country. Susan Collins has survived cycle after cycle by reading the wind -- but a credible challenger forces her to actually defend votes she'd rather have buried. This is a race where donor money compounds early and matters all the way to November.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in rural Northern Maine counties (Aroostook, Washington)
Billboards along I-95 and US-1 in rural Down East and Northern Maine
Small-market radio across rural Maine stations
Online voter forums for rural Maine voters
Direct contributions routed to the Maine Democratic nominee's campaign committee
Roy Cooper
NC · U.S. Senate
Win prob
50%
Opportunity
67
Goal
$25,000
Roy Cooper can win North Carolina's U.S. Senate race, but North Carolina is never easy. Rural margins matter. Western North Carolina still remembers who showed up after Hurricane Helene and who failed to deliver. This is exactly the kind of race where targeted donor money can still matter.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in rural Western NC counties (Helene-impacted, rural Piedmont)
Billboards along I-40 and US-74 in rural Western North Carolina
Small-market radio across rural NC mountains and Piedmont
Online voter forums for rural North Carolina voters
Direct contributions routed to Roy Cooper's campaign committee
Jon Ossoff
GA · U.S. Senate
Win prob
52%
Opportunity
64
Goal
$25,000
Jon Ossoff is one of the only Democrats to win statewide in Georgia in a generation. He flipped this seat once. Now he has to defend it against the full weight of national Republican money, and Georgia's turnout machine doesn't run itself -- it has to be funded.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in rural Georgia counties (South GA, Piedmont)
Billboards along I-75 and US-441 in rural Georgia
Small-market radio across rural Georgia stations
Online voter forums for rural Georgia voters
Direct contributions routed to Jon Ossoff's campaign committee
James Talarico
TX · U.S. Senate
Win prob
30%
Opportunity
62
Goal
$25,000
Texas is the largest, most expensive battlefield in the country, and the only way it ever becomes competitive is if donors stop treating it as hopeless. A serious challenge to John Cornyn forces the GOP to spend money in Texas that they need everywhere else on the map.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in rural Texas (Rio Grande Valley, Panhandle, East Texas)
Billboards along I-27 and US-281 in rural Texas
Small-market radio across rural Texas counties
Online voter forums for rural Texas voters
Direct contributions routed to the Texas Democratic nominee's campaign committee
Josh Turek
IA · U.S. Senate
Win prob
32%
Opportunity
54
Goal
$25,000
Iowa's Senate seat is open for the first time in two decades. Joni Ernst is retiring, the Republican primary is contested, and the Democratic field has an opportunity that doesn't come around often -- an open seat in a state that has voted competitively as recently as 2020.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads across rural Iowa's 99 counties
Billboards along I-29, I-35, and US-20 in rural Iowa
Small-market radio across rural Iowa stations
Online voter forums for rural Iowa voters
Direct contributions routed to the Iowa Democratic nominee's campaign committee
Mallory McMorrow
MI · U.S. Senate
Win prob
55%
Opportunity
52
Goal
$25,000
Michigan's open Senate seat is one of the most consequential races on the 2026 map. Gary Peters is retiring, the primary is competitive, and the eventual Democratic nominee will need a fully funded statewide operation from day one -- not a panicked September rebuild.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in rural Michigan UP and Northern Lower Peninsula
Billboards along I-75 and US-2 in rural northern Michigan
Small-market radio across rural Michigan counties
Online voter forums for rural Michigan voters
Direct contributions routed to the Michigan Democratic nominee's campaign committee
Mary Peltola
AK · U.S. Senate
Win prob
28%
Opportunity
52
Goal
$25,000
Alaska's ranked-choice voting system has rewritten what's possible for moderate and independent candidates statewide. Dan Sullivan has spent his career assuming Alaska was a safe seat -- a serious challenger with real funding turns that assumption into a real race.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in rural Alaska (Bush, Mat-Su, Kenai)
Billboards along the Parks and Glenn Highways in rural Alaska
Small-market radio across rural Alaska stations
Online voter forums for rural Alaska voters
Direct contributions routed to the Alaska Democratic-aligned nominee's campaign committee
Eileen Laubacher
CO · U.S. House CD-4
Win prob
30%
Opportunity
47
Goal
$25,000
Colorado's 4th District is exactly the kind of race where strategic small-dollar money still moves the battlefield. Eileen Laubacher is running a serious, well-funded campaign against an incumbent who has consistently underperformed in her own backyard.
What your dollars fund
Targeted social and digital ads in CD-4's rural Eastern Plains counties
Billboards along I-76 and US-50 in rural CO-04
Small-market radio across rural Eastern Plains stations
Online voter forums for rural CD-4 voters
Direct contributions routed to Eileen Laubacher's campaign committee
